Friday, January 19, 2024

The End of Sport

Roger Federer slumped to his 6-0 annihilation in the third set of his quarter final at Wimbledon in 2021, and soon after, announced his retirement. Down in the depths of my misery, it sparked a series of thoughts I had on Sport, and life, and then onwards to brand-building, passion-projects and such. In expressing these musings, I attempt to distill insights into what Sport teaches us, and why it’s such an essential part of the human experience.


The spark 

The moment Federer announced his retirement there was, for me, a sense of what I would describe best as disgust. I didn’t feel like I wanted to watch tennis anymore. It was like a love affair gone sour. Like a man hating on all woman-kind as the love of his life left him for another. Federer had been such an important part of my life for the over 20 years. He was Tennis. He was Sport. And his absence from it simply meant I wouldn’t watch tennis anymore. 


Thinking back

Recalling instances when I had done something similar - Giving up watching a sport just because my hero had retired - I didn’t have to go too far back. I had done it with quite some fervour after Michael Schumacher retired for the first time. This pattern repeated across other icons

Jonah Lomu - Rugby. 

Michael Jordan - NBA / Basketball. 

Tiger Woods & Annika Sorenstam- Golf. 

Lance Armstrong - Cycling / Tour de France. 

Usain Bolt - Sprinting. 

Steffi Graf - Women’s Tennis. 


Clearly, I had fallen in and out of love many times!


The pattern 

What was common in all these ‘affairs’, then?

  • Capturing stars during their peak or transcendent moments: I had ‘caught’ each star in their upswing. Or when they reached such a point that they transcended the confines of their own sport, if there is such a thing. A stunning victory. A series of wins against the incumbent champ. A display of unbelievable skill never before seen in the (any) sport, so good it leaves the casual viewer stunned.
  • The Impact of Distribution / Visibility / Availability: A sport suddenly becoming available on television meant something new to watch, and if it coincided with one of the upswings of a hero, that was a ripe moment to latch on not only to the sport but also the hero, and their legendary battles with contemporaries. 
  • Fierce rivalries: While these heroes or challengers were nearing or at the peak of their powers, there was also an able adversary who provided the ideal villain in a the story-line. (I use the word villain because while they may not have done anything bad or illegal, they were surely in competition with the pretender hero, and hence, conveniently labelled villain.) 
  • Dominance: I never seemed to get bored of watching them winning. There were a few blips along the way, but there was, in each case, a sustained period of dominance, where they looked untouchable. Perhaps this was a reflection of my own thought process at the time, on feeling invincible.
  • Community: While not true for every champion I named, surely Sport makes for great conversations. And with like-minded people following those sports in ample supply at college & work, talking endlessly about the nuances of the sport & conquests of the champions was an added bonus. 
  • Media frenzy: What went hand-in-hand with the distribution was the coverage for the sport in most key media at the time. News. Sports sections of newspapers. Repeated ads across channels. And such. It felt like everyone was talking about them. And I got swept off my feet, with the tide. 
  • Individual Sport Icons, even in Team sports: While there was the Team that was a hero in many cases, sometimes the individual was so good, you watched the entire sport just for them. Case in point, Leo Messi - Games of Paris St German watched before Messi joined the team - zero; after Messi - zero; during his time there - almost every game.
  • End of eras: While many ducks had to align to become enamoured with an icon, the end was usually similar, and swift. For most of them, like was the case with Federer, it was the announcement of retirement. For others, maybe a career-ending injury. 


A thought on Marketing Sports

If I was to be running a sport, it would have a flywheel of all of the above, running ceaselessly, almost naturally. New consumers of the sport - usually unsuspecting youngsters, or newly retired couch potatoes - would keep joining at the peak of famous rivalries, or a series of victories. While the idea would be to somehow time the rise of the next generation soon after an era ends. Make a push for a new hero, just when the old guard is relinquishing the throne, while being careful that the takeover is not a big rivalry in itself, else you may lose the icon’s biggest fans. This is somewhat easier in team sports, where each team is like the proverbial Ship of Theseus, always changing, but retaining its core identity, or style of play. Except when a freak like also Messi comes along and changes everything. Clubs, in team sports ie, invest significant amount of marketing effort in talking about the club’s history, attempting to form an emotional bond with their newly acquired fans. And then continuing to drive the point home at every occasion. 


On brand building

Come to think of it, this is how brands are also built. This is why the best companies pay top dollar to get into the minds of the youngest when their minds are rather malleable. Why does a Ferrari invest so much in a sport like Formula One? So that youngsters, who will no doubt be attracted by the speed and glamour of the sport, begin to associate the name ‘Ferrari’ with great engineering, passion, precision, luxury, et cetera, et cetera. And eventually when we grow up and have the means to buy anything, the thing we most desire to buy is a Ferrari. If we had any iota of rationality left in our heads, we wouldn’t buy one. Because at the end of the day, it’s ‘just a car’, isn’t it? Of course, luxury brands scoff at these ideas, because they know so well that humans aren’t entirely rational at making purchases. In fact, we are almost entirely emotional, tribal, and driven by herd-mentality. 


On passion projects

If you were to observe a child closely, one thing that would strike you irrespective of gender, race, colour, anything really, is how CURIOUS the child is. And PERSISTENT too. Up until us adults help them FORGET these basic traits. And then until something some of them are lucky to come across, usually by chance, that captures and reignites this curiosity, and they put their heads down and build something beautiful. One thing that Sport, and even art, teaches us is the value of perseverance. Hours and hours of play are table stakes in the making of a champion. And as this passion project sees the light of day as a product, all the marketing elements that I outlined above come into play. So that people get excited about the product, invest emotional energy, time, into buying it, talking about it and recommending it to others. And that’s how something as ‘simple’ as your wall clock or a chair, go from passion project to landing up in your room. 


Life

On the face of it, Sport seems to be about Winning. Especially how Professional Sport and sportspersons are portrayed. And indeed, that’s what attracts the fans, me included. But that’s not what keeps the fans engaged. It’s the very raw, emotional human stories. As Federer’s career drew to a close, I had this moment of catharsis because I felt myself in his shoes, letting go of the sport that he loved so much. And I loved so much. I felt the same when Messi and Argentina won the World Cup in 2022. What else was left to watch really in football! Someone would still win, there would be other champions. But will I be able to relive that emotion I felt watching one of these stars? In that question lies the answer to what truly makes Sport so important in our lives. It is not about Winning. It is that warm fuzzy feeling when you’re in the midst of it, watching or playing. The breeze on your face as you start running towards the ball, or at the top of your run up. The rush of electricity as you hold that pawn and advance it two steps, and let go. Life is in the living. Over and over again. 


So is this the End, of Sport?

As with any distressing moment, as with any dark night, there always is the first light of dawn, springing us back to life. There is no end, there just is running, playing, breathing, crying tears of joy. That, my dear friend, is life. 

Saturday, May 13, 2023

South America & India (Chatgpt experiment)

After my long trip across South America I couldn’t help but think how Indians (of the actual India, in Asia) and (Native) South Americas are too similar to be dismissed as completely different civilizations that had zero connections. Over the last 6 years since my travels to the Americas, I have heard and read bits and pieces of news which I may have made a mental note of, and constituted as possible evidence for a hypothesis that both cultures / populations are linked. I never really made a concerted effort to put all these nuggets together, and quite frankly, I was never very organized about it. It was more of a fantasy that I indulged in from time to time and whenever some ‘evidence’ showed up I thought to myself ‘Wow that’d be cool’.

 

Fast forward to 2023, and chatgpt is all the rage. So what I did was to try and get it to work for me to get me going on my ‘project’. And boy, did it make a good start. Ostensibly, in this ‘essay’ I present only one side of the story, (but for the absolute last prompt) . On why the two populations / civilizations / cultures could be inextricably linked. Perhaps a later post will talk about why they’re most definitely not. And why all these eerie similarities are just fanciful coincidences. (Of course, standard warnings apply to the prompt and the responses. Nothing is tested to the nth degree for it's veracity. Also, Bing seems to randomly repeat stuff, but I have left it all as was, with numbers within the text indicating reference links, which I haven't copied). 

 - - 

Here's the prompt I used on 13th May 2023, via Bing.

 

You are a trained historian, geologist, anthropologist and writer.

After hearing that the leading hypothesis of human population migration to the America's via the Bering’s land bridge was debunked, because of human fossils being found in Mexico which predate the ice age and hence, the land bridge, you want to formulate and test an alternate hypothesis.

The hypothesis is as follows :

The americas were populated in two or more waves, at least one of which occurred well before the ice age. The people who made it there were actually from India, from an advanced (for the time) sea-faring population.

To test this hypothesis, you want to lay out all the facts existing in current literature, connecting them with some cultural traditions which seem too similar to be coincidental, and some similarities in ancient languages spoken by Indians and American Indians.

Write out all these facts, conjectures and eerie similarities in an essay with as much detail as possible over the next 10 messages if need be. I can reprompt you with 'and some more' if need be.

Bing

The discovery of human fossils in Mexico that predate the ice age and hence, the land bridge, challenges the dominant theory of how humans first populated the Americas. According to this theory, known as the Clovis-first model, humans migrated from Asia to North America via a land bridge across the Bering Strait that was exposed during the last glacial period, around 13,000 years ago. They then spread southward through an ice-free corridor that opened up between two massive ice sheets covering most of Canada and the northern United States. These early migrants are associated with a distinctive stone tool culture called Clovis, which is found throughout North America and parts of Central and South America.

 

However, the fossilized footprints found at White Sands National Park in New Mexico offer what some scientists say is the most conclusive evidence yet that humans lived in North America long before the end of the last ice age1. The research, published in the journal Science, dates the prints to between 21,000 and 23,000 years ago1. This means that humans occupied the continent during the Last Glacial Maximum, when most of it was covered by ice and impassable for migration. The footprints also show that these ancient humans were hunting and gathering along the shores of a large lake that existed in the area at the time1.

 

The White Sands footprints are not the only evidence that contradicts the Clovis-first model. Other archaeological sites in North and South America have yielded human remains and artifacts that are older than or contemporaneous with Clovis, such as Monte Verde in Chile (14,800 years ago), Meadowcroft Rockshelter in Pennsylvania (16,000 years ago), and Cooper's Ferry in Idaho (16,500 years ago)2. These findings suggest that humans arrived in the Americas by multiple routes and at different times, possibly using boats or coastal routes to bypass the ice sheets.

 

One possible alternative hypothesis is that some of the earliest Americans came from India, from an advanced (for the time) sea-faring population. This hypothesis is based on several facts, conjectures and eerie similarities that connect India and America across time and space. Some of these are:

 

  The genetic evidence: Some studies have found traces of Indian ancestry in some Native American populations, especially those from Amazonia3. These studies suggest that there was a gene flow from India to America around 6,000 to 10,000 years ago, possibly through Polynesia or Melanesia3. However, other studies have challenged this interpretation and argued that the Indian ancestry is either an artifact of statistical methods or a result of recent admixture4.

 

  The linguistic evidence: Some scholars have proposed that there are linguistic similarities between some Native American languages and some ancient Indian languages, such as Sanskrit and Tamil5. For example, they have pointed out common words for animals, plants, numbers, body parts, kinship terms, and grammatical structures5. However, these claims have been criticized by mainstream linguists as lacking rigorous methodology and evidence.

 

  The cultural evidence: Some observers have noted that there are cultural parallels between some Native American traditions and some ancient Indian traditions, such as mythology, astronomy, medicine, art, architecture, and religion. For example, they have compared the Native American concept of Manitou (a spiritual force that pervades all things) with the Indian concept of Mantra (a sacred sound or word that invokes divine power). They have also compared the Native American practice of building mounds (artificial hills used for burial or ceremonial purposes) with the Indian practice of building stupas (dome-shaped structures used for Buddhist worship). However, these parallels have been dismissed by many scholars as coincidental or superficial.

 

In conclusion, while there is some intriguing evidence that suggests a possible connection between India and America in prehistoric times, it is far from conclusive or widely accepted. More research is needed to test this hypothesis and explore other possible scenarios for how humans first populated the Americas.

 

Bing

Some more facts, conjectures and eerie similarities that support the hypothesis of an India-America connection in prehistory are:

 

  The archaeological evidence: Some researchers have claimed that there are archaeological similarities between some ancient sites in India and America, such as megalithic structures, rock art, pottery styles, and metallurgy. For example, they have compared the Dolmens (stone chambers with large capstones) found in southern India with the ones found in New England and Georgia. They have also compared the petroglyphs (rock carvings) depicting spiral motifs and geometric patterns found in Maharashtra with the ones found in Arizona and Utah. However, these claims have been challenged by other archaeologists as lacking chronological and contextual evidence.

 

  The botanical evidence: Some botanists have suggested that there are botanical similarities between some plants native to India and America, such as cotton, maize, beans, squash, tobacco, and chili peppers. They have argued that these plants were domesticated independently in both regions, or that they were introduced by ancient transoceanic voyagers. For example, they have pointed out that cotton was cultivated in India by 2500 BC and in America by 1500 BC, and that both regions developed similar types of cotton fibers and textiles. However, these claims have been disputed by other botanists as based on insufficient or unreliable data.

 

  The astronomical evidence: Some astronomers have proposed that there are astronomical similarities between some ancient calendars and star maps used by Indians and Native Americans, such as the Hindu lunar calendar and the Maya Long Count calendar. They have also suggested that some ancient monuments and temples in India and America were aligned with celestial phenomena, such as solstices, equinoxes, and eclipses. For example, they have compared the Konark Sun Temple in Odisha with the Chichen Itza pyramid in Yucatan, both of which are oriented to the sun's movements. However, these claims have been criticized by other astronomers as based on selective or inaccurate interpretations of the evidence.

 

Bing

Some more facts, conjectures and eerie similarities that support the hypothesis of an India-America connection in prehistory are:

 

  The maritime evidence: Some historians have argued that there is maritime evidence that ancient Indians had the capability and the motivation to undertake long-distance voyages across the oceans, including to America. They have cited the ancient Indian texts such as the Vedas, the Ramayana, the Mahabharata, and the Puranas, which contain references to ships, navigation, trade, and exploration. They have also cited the archaeological evidence of ports, docks, shipyards, and maritime artifacts found in sites such as Lothal, Dholavira, Dwarka, and Pattanam. They have also cited the historical evidence of Indian contacts with other regions such as Southeast Asia, Africa, and Europe through trade and cultural exchange.

 

  The religious evidence: Some scholars have suggested that there are religious similarities between some ancient Indian and Native American beliefs and practices, such as the concept of reincarnation, the worship of nature and animals, the use of sacred plants and rituals, and the role of shamans and priests. For example, they have compared the Native American concept of Wakan Tanka (the Great Spirit or Great Mystery) with the Indian concept of Brahman (the Supreme Reality or Absolute). They have also compared the Native American practice of using peyote (a hallucinogenic cactus) for spiritual purposes with the Indian practice of using soma (a mysterious plant or drink) for religious ceremonies.

 

  The artistic evidence: Some artists have proposed that there are artistic similarities between some ancient Indian and Native American styles and motifs, such as geometric patterns, animal figures, floral designs, and symbols. For example, they have compared the Indian mandala (a circular diagram representing the cosmos) with the Native American medicine wheel (a circular symbol representing harmony and balance). They have also compared the Indian kolam (a decorative drawing made with rice flour or chalk) with the Native American sand painting (a ritualistic art form made with colored sand).

 

Bing

Some more facts, conjectures and eerie similarities that support the hypothesis of an India-America connection in prehistory are:

 

  The anthropological evidence: Some anthropologists have claimed that there are anthropological similarities between some ancient Indian and Native American physical features, such as skin color, hair type, facial structure, and blood type. They have argued that these similarities indicate a common ancestry or a genetic admixture. For example, they have pointed out that some Native Americans have type A or B blood, which is rare among other populations of the Americas, but common among Indians. They have...

 

Bing

Some more facts, conjectures and eerie similarities that support the hypothesis of an India-America connection in prehistory are:

 

  The historical evidence: Some historians have argued that there is historical evidence that ancient Indians had some knowledge of or contact with America, based on some references or clues found in ancient Indian texts, inscriptions, maps, and legends. For example, they have cited the Ramayana (an epic poem dating to the 5th century BC or earlier), which mentions a land called Patala (the netherworld) where the sun rises from the west and sets in the east. They have also cited the Mahabharata (another epic poem dating to the 4th century BC or earlier), which mentions a land called Sudarshana Dwipa (the beautiful island) where gold is abundant and people live for a thousand years. They have also cited the Puranas (a collection of ancient Hindu scriptures dating to the 3rd century AD or earlier), which mention a land called Sapta Dwipa (the seven islands) that corresponds to the seven continents of the world. They have also cited the Kumari Kandam (a lost continent or island that was once home to an ancient Tamil civilization), which some legends say sank into the ocean due to a cataclysmic event. They have also cited the Piri Reis map (a world map drawn by a Turkish admiral in 1513), which shows a part of South America that resembles the coast of India.

 

  The anthropological evidence: Some anthropologists have suggested that there are anthropological similarities between some ancient Indian and Native American physical traits, such as skin color, hair texture, facial features, blood type, and skull shape. For example, they have compared the Dravidians (a linguistic and ethnic group native to southern India) with the Olmecs (an ancient civilization that flourished in Mesoamerica from 1500 BC to 400 BC). They have also compared the Aryans (a linguistic and cultural group that migrated to India from Central Asia around 1500 BC) with the Anasazi (an ancient culture that inhabited the southwestern United States from 100 BC to 1300 AD). They have also compared the Siddis (an ethnic group of African descent living in India) with the Black Indians (people of mixed African and Native American ancestry living in America).

 

Bing

Some more facts, conjectures and eerie similarities that support the hypothesis of an India-America connection in prehistory are:

 

  The genetic evidence: Some geneticists have argued that there is genetic evidence that ancient Indians and Native Americans share some common ancestry or admixture, based on some markers or haplogroups found in their DNA. For example, they have cited the M130 marker, which is found in some Dravidian-speaking populations in India and some Native American populations in North and South America. They have also cited the R1a haplogroup, which is found in some Indo-European-speaking populations in India and some Native American populations in Central and South America. They have also cited the X2a haplogroup, which is found in some Native American populations in North America and some populations in West Asia and Europe.

 

  The musical evidence: Some musicologists have suggested that there are musical similarities between some ancient Indian and Native American instruments, scales, rhythms, and melodies, based on some acoustic or structural features or patterns. For example, they have compared the Indian flute (a woodwind instrument with a hollow tube and finger holes) with the Native American flute (a similar instrument with a block or fipple that creates a whistle sound). They have also compared the Indian raga (a melodic framework for improvisation based on a set of notes and rules) with the Native American pentatonic scale (a five-note scale that is common in many Native American songs). They have also compared the Indian tala (a rhythmic cycle of beats that is used to accompany music) with the Native American drumming (a rhythmic pattern that is played on a drum or other percussion instrument).

 

Bing

Some more facts, conjectures and eerie similarities that support the hypothesis of an India-America connection in prehistory are:

 

  The numismatic evidence: Some numismatists have argued that there is numismatic evidence that ancient Indians and Native Americans used similar or identical coins or tokens for trade or exchange, based on some shapes, symbols, or inscriptions found on them. For example, they have compared the Indian punch-marked coins (silver or copper coins with various marks punched on them) with the Native American wampum (beads made from shells that were used as currency or gifts). They have also compared the Indian cowrie shells (sea snails that were used as money in many parts of Asia and Africa) with the Native American olivella shells (similar sea snails that were used as money in some parts of North America). They have also compared the Indian swastika coins (coins with a swastika symbol on them) with the Native American swastika tokens (tokens with a similar symbol on them).

 

  The architectural evidence: Some architects have suggested that there are architectural similarities between some ancient Indian and Native American buildings or structures, based on some designs, features, or functions. For example, they have compared the Indian stepwells (subterranean wells with steps leading down to the water) with the Native American kivas (underground chambers used for religious or social purposes). They have also compared the Indian stupas (dome-shaped structures used for Buddhist worship) with the Native American mounds (artificial hills used for burial or ceremonial purposes). They have also compared the Indian temples (buildings dedicated to various gods and goddesses) with the Native American pyramids (stepped structures used for worship or rulership).

 

Bing

Some more facts, conjectures and eerie similarities that support the hypothesis of an India-America connection in prehistory are:

 

  The mythological evidence: Some mythologists have argued that there is mythological evidence that ancient Indians and Native Americans shared some common stories or legends, based on some themes, characters, or events. For example, they have compared the Indian flood myth (a story of a great deluge that wiped out most of humanity and was survived by a righteous man and his family who built a boat) with the Native American flood myths (similar stories of a cataclysmic flood that were told by many tribes across the continent). They have also compared the Indian snake myth (a story of a primordial serpent that represents chaos and is defeated by a god or a hero) with the Native American snake myths (similar stories of a monstrous snake that is slain by a deity or a warrior). They have also compared the Indian sun myth (a story of a solar deity who travels across the sky in a chariot or a boat) with the Native American sun myths (similar stories of a sun god or goddess who rides a vehicle or an animal across the heavens).

 

  The philosophical evidence: Some philosophers have suggested that there are philosophical similarities between some ancient Indian and Native American schools of thought, based on some concepts, principles, or values. For example, they have compared the Indian Vedanta (a system of metaphysics that posits the unity of all reality and the identity of the individual soul with the supreme soul) with the Native American monism (a worldview that affirms the oneness of all existence and the interconnection of all beings). They have also compared the Indian Yoga (a discipline of physical, mental, and spiritual practices that aims to achieve liberation from suffering and ignorance) with the Native American shamanism (a practice of entering altered states of consciousness to communicate with spirits and heal others). They have also compared the Indian Ahimsa (a principle of non-violence and respect for all life) with the Native American pacifism (a value of peace and harmony with nature and other people).

 

Bing

Some more facts, conjectures and eerie similarities that support the hypothesis of an India-America connection in prehistory are:

 

  The literary evidence: Some literary critics have argued that there is literary evidence that ancient Indians and Native Americans shared some common genres or themes, based on some forms, styles, or motifs. For example, they have compared the Indian epics (long narrative poems that recount the deeds and adventures of legendary or historical heroes) with the Native American epics (similar oral narratives that celebrate the exploits and achievements of tribal ancestors or culture heroes). They have also compared the Indian fables (short stories that convey moral lessons using animals or plants as characters) with the Native American fables (similar stories that teach ethical values using anthropomorphic creatures or natural phenomena). They have also compared the Indian hymns (poetic compositions that praise or invoke various gods and goddesses) with the Native American hymns (similar songs that express reverence or gratitude for various spirits or forces).

 

  The medicinal evidence: Some medical experts have suggested that there are medicinal similarities between some ancient Indian and Native American remedies or practices, based on some herbs, techniques, or effects. For example, they have compared the Indian Ayurveda (a system of holistic medicine that uses natural substances and methods to balance the body, mind, and spirit) with the Native American medicine (a similar system of healing that uses herbal remedies and rituals to restore harmony and wellness). They have also compared the Indian turmeric (a spice that has anti-inflammatory, antioxidant, and antiseptic properties) with the Native American goldenseal (a plant that has similar benefits for treating infections and wounds). They have also compared the Indian yoga (a discipline of physical, mental, and spiritual practices that aims to achieve liberation from suffering and ignorance) with the Native American sweat lodge (a ceremony of purification and detoxification that involves sitting in a hot and humid enclosure).

 

 

Bing

Some more facts, conjectures and eerie similarities that support the hypothesis of an India-America connection in prehistory are:

 

  The geographical evidence: Some geographers have argued that there is geographical evidence that ancient Indians and Native Americans were aware of each other's existence or location, based on some names, descriptions, or maps. For example, they have compared the Indian name Bharata (the ancient name for India derived from a legendary king) with the Native American name Aztlan (the mythical homeland of the Aztecs in northern Mexico). They have also compared the Indian description of Jambudvipa (the island-continent that India was part of according to ancient cosmology) with the Native American description of Turtle Island (the name for North America according to some tribal legends). They have also compared the Indian map of Ptolemy (a 2nd century AD Greek geographer who included India and parts of Asia in his world map) with the Native American map of Waldseemüller (a 16th century AD German cartographer who included America and parts of Europe in his world map).

 

  The mathematical evidence: Some mathematicians have suggested that there are mathematical similarities between some ancient Indian and Native American concepts or inventions, based on some numbers, symbols, or calculations. For example, they have compared the Indian decimal system (a system of writing numbers using ten symbols and a place value notation) with the Native American quipu (a system of recording numbers using knots and strings). They have also compared the Indian zero (a symbol and a concept that represents nothing or emptiness) with the Native American zero (a similar symbol and concept that was used by some Mesoamerican cultures). They have also compared the Indian pi (an irrational number that represents the ratio of a circle's circumference to its diameter) with the Native American pi (a similar number that was approximated by some Native American cultures).

 

Bing

Some more facts, conjectures and eerie similarities that support the hypothesis of an India-America connection in prehistory are:

 

  The linguistic evidence: Some linguists have argued that there is linguistic evidence that ancient Indians and Native Americans spoke related or influenced languages, based on some words, sounds, or grammars. For example, they have compared the Indian Sanskrit (an ancient Indo-European language that was used for religious and literary purposes) with the Native American Quechua (a language family that was spoken by the Inca Empire and its descendants in South America). They have also compared the Indian Tamil (a Dravidian language that is spoken by millions of people in southern India and Sri Lanka) with the Native American Zuni (an isolate language that is spoken by a tribe in New Mexico). They have also compared the Indian Munda (a language family that is spoken by some tribal groups in eastern India) with the Native American Na-Dene (a language family that is spoken by some groups in North America and Siberia).

 

  The cultural evidence: Some cultural anthropologists have suggested that there are cultural similarities between some ancient Indian and Native American customs or traditions, based on some beliefs, values, or practices. For example, they have compared the Indian caste system (a social hierarchy that divides people into four main classes based on their birth and occupation) with the Native American clan system (a kinship structure that divides people into groups based on their ancestry and totem). They have also compared the Indian fire ritual (a ceremony that involves offering oblations to various gods and ancestors through a sacred fire) with the Native American fire ceremony (a ritual that involves honoring and communicating with various spirits and ancestors through a sacred fire). They have also compared the Indian tobacco use (a practice that involves smoking or chewing tobacco for medicinal or recreational purposes) with the Native American tobacco use (a similar practice that involves using tobacco for healing or ceremonial purposes).

 

Bing

Some more facts, conjectures and eerie similarities that support the hypothesis of an India-America connection in prehistory are:

 

  The archaeological evidence: Some archaeologists have argued that there is archaeological evidence that ancient Indians and Native Americans left behind some artifacts or structures that indicate their presence or influence, based on some shapes, materials, or functions. For example, they have compared the Indian stone balls (spherical stones that were used as weights or ornaments) with the Native American stone balls (similar stones that were used as weapons or tools). They have also compared the Indian copper plates (metal sheets that were inscribed with grants or records) with the Native American copper plates (similar sheets that were engraved with symbols or images). They have also compared the Indian rock art (drawings or paintings on rocks that depict animals, humans, or abstract designs) with the Native American rock art (similar drawings or paintings on rocks that show similar motifs or themes).

 

 The astronomical evidence: Some astronomers have suggested that there are astronomical similarities between some ancient Indian and Native American observations or calculations, based on some stars, planets, or phenomena. For example, they have compared the Indian nakshatras (lunar mansions or asterisms that divide the sky into 27 or 28 segments) with the Native American constellations (star patterns that divide the sky into different regions). They have also compared the Indian planetary periods (cycles of time that are associated with the movements of different planets) with the Native American calendars (systems of timekeeping that are based on the cycles of the sun, moon, and stars). They have also compared the Indian eclipses (events that occur when the sun or moon is obscured by another celestial body) with the Native American eclipses (similar events that were interpreted as signs or omens).

 

 

Bing

The hypothesis of an India-America connection in prehistory faces many challenges and limitations, such as:

 

  The lack of direct or conclusive evidence: Most of the evidence that supports this hypothesis is indirect, circumstantial, or ambiguous. There is no clear or consistent archaeological, genetic, linguistic, or historical proof that ancient Indians and Native Americans had any contact or interaction. There is also no record or trace of any ancient Indian voyages or settlements in America, or vice versa.

 

  The alternative or simpler explanations: Many of the similarities that are cited as evidence for this hypothesis can be explained by other factors, such as independent invention, parallel evolution, convergent adaptation, cultural diffusion, or coincidence. There is no need to invoke a complex or improbable scenario of transoceanic contact to account for them.

 

  The methodological or logical flaws: Many of the arguments that are used to support this hypothesis are based on faulty or biased methods, such as cherry-picking data, ignoring counter-evidence, making unwarranted assumptions, drawing false analogies, or committing logical fallacies. There is also a lack of peer review or scholarly consensus on this hypothesis.

 

--

As you can see Chatgpt has helped me research the topic quite well for a starter. This may have taken me a few hours if not more to do on traditional Google (didn’t try Bard, yet). And certainly the several angles with which it looked at the hypothesis almost had me already convinced! More, in my next, hopefully!

Monday, February 10, 2014

Switzerland



Switzerland is like a 5-star hotel in Mumbai, surrounded by relative mediocrity & poverty. Everyone outside is enamoured by its splendid facade, has heard stories of its spas & beach-facing swimming pools, and the tabloids catch the rich & famous zipping in & out.


Back in the day, when this 'hotel' started out, some of its enterprising owners realized their great location advantage, and invested in creating the best infrastructure for the biggest marketing campaign of all time - the Swiss Alps. Needless to say, it was a roaring success. And since so much money & effort was put behind making all this infrastructure, the 'prices' had to be prohibitively expensive. This meant only the richest of the rich could come & 'stay'.

As this started happening, the enterprising Swiss figured a common thread running through these rich visitors - their need to stash away their cash, secretly. So the 'hotel' started offering 'other' services as well, very discreetly. The rich paid more & more to enjoy the benefits. Over time, everyone from the waiters to the guy who sorted the hotel trash started earning enough to be driving around in Mercs - some did, some chose not to and even left. The 'hotel' continued to get facelifts, and the common people outside continued to look on with awe. But the 'benefits' that the hotel provided, known only to the rich few, became one of the biggest USPs of the hotel, keeping it well ahead of other magnificent hotels.

But then two strange things happened in quick succession.

The owners of the hotel were impressed with the stupendous growth the hotel was seeing, and wanted more. They realized that too many people were leaving and not enough coming in, especially for the kind of growth they wanted. So they decided, undoubtedly correctly, to let anyone from around the locality in to help work at the hotel. This was a strange thing as this was never ever done in the history of the hotel, which was always a closed, selective community. But it brought in fresh ideas & 'unspoilt' people who were willing to do whatever it takes to make their lives, and by design, the hotel's future a success.

The other strange thing that happened was that laws got passed to have a 'camera' in all 'hotels', including Switzerland, with full access for global governments. The carefully built, and biggest standing, USP of the hotel was no more. The rich and famous could no longer come in & get other services without having Big Brother watching them through that wretched tin can on the wall. Many clients swore never to come again. There were murmurs of some other hotels somehow having the ability to have a few rooms without cameras. Many of the rich & famous promptly began going there.

Business dropped dramatically at the hotel. Enough clients were not coming in.

What's worse, some of the original inhabitants of the hotel started complaining that the stream of folks from the locality were getting too many. There were meetings & demonstrations, and open rejection of some of the cultural ideas of the ‘new ones’.
The owners had no clue what had hit them. They had two problems to solve at the same time. One, how to get business back. And two, how to quell this discontent amongst some of its inhabitants against the people coming in.

Interestingly enough, these problems might be linked. But more on that, and the first problem, later.

Bowing to pressure from this dissenting group, the owners did the unthinkable. They made it everybody's problem by asking them to vote on whether the people from the locality should be allowed in. They thought, rather naively that this group was a minority and the problem would solve itself with the vote saying that everything's fine, “keep 'em comin' in”.


The result of that vote came on Sunday evening. A shocker, to say the least. 44% of the people didn't even bother voting. Of the 56% that did, 50.3% were the dissenting group. That's well less than a third of the total. But as it happens, the owners have to go by the result, and tell all those locality groups that they cannot allow people to come in indiscriminately. The two problems are now even bigger.

Had the owners' thoughts of a victory in the vote materialized, the people from the locality would have come in, with fresh ideas, hard work & ambition, and helped solve the first problem, of business going down. Because people trying hard find a way, eventually.

The once magnificent hotel is now at a crossroads, its future uncertain. The best bet for the owners would probably be to go back to the original USP, around which in the first wave of business was built - beautiful, natural gifts complemented with amazing infrastructure, and a dazzling marketing campaign. But they would need people, and if not recruiting from around the locality is a constraint, they might well fall short. They might need to take down pricing in pockets, so as to gain volumes, but then would existing infrastructure suffice?

Strong positive, business building steps need to be taken…

Else, the hotel is destined to die a slow, painful death, eventually taken over by those dissenters who think they can do without help.

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As a new member of the hotel staff, I find myself in the midst of this calm chaos. The natural wonders that this place possesses coupled with the painstakingly built infrastructure is even more amazing than what it looked from the outside. But the murmurs of dissent against 'us' just got a voice today. Albeit only 28%. Hope they realize that we're all eventually working for the prosperity of the same hotel, that's how the system was designed.


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Wednesday, December 4, 2013

Delhi Polls - Analysis & Prediction

I have been a relatively mute spectator in the political space. While I do read a lot online, almost every article I read ends with my eyes rolling at the sheer moronery of the tamasha called Indian politics. From 'paid media' to 'social media armies', it seems that you can never believe anything you read. And yet, you're expected to form an 'informed opinion' before you vote.

This has meant that while I am reading so much, I'm hardly 'giving back' anything online, in the form of opinions or endorsements of articles. This article is my attempt to give something back. It is, one may say, an 'opinion', based on numbers and certain assumptions.

Experience
I have had only ONE real, ON-GROUND, experience of the political process. It was back in my days as a Sales Manager in Tirupati. Chiranjeevi was launching his party and purportedly, some 7 lakh people had arrived in the city for the rally. Everyone was given a chicken biryani and a small bottle of liquor. I was barely a few minutes away from the venue and was getting these live updates from my team.

I got the distinct feeling that the whole election process is a game of money - of how many voters you can buy. Now, us, English reading, web-surfing junta, we would think that who would be stupid enough to vote for a certain party basis what money/gifts/alcohol they received? Well, that seems to be what's happening in the country for the last 60 years! And with some media outlets, both on paper and online, brazenly taking sides one way or the other, even WE are voting basis our limited reading online. How many people really go through ALL the view points on any particular matter. The media certainly doesn't help. I don't remember reading too many balanced articles on any matter. The media takes sides, authors take sides, and we end up with a skewed view basis what media we're exposed to.


Number games
So to make the whole process a bit more exciting for me (as opposed to exasperating or disillusioning), I jumped into some data, put together some assumptions and came out with a prediction for the Delhi polls.

We all know that media hoo-haa counts for little as a very small percentage of the population sees what we see in the form of 'premium' news channels. At the end of the day, its a very local decision made by a largely locally-exposed bunch of people who would have vaguely heard of the Modi's and Dikshit's of the world.

While the above is true, it is changing, slowly. Every year about 1% is added to the electorate by way of youngsters coming into the polling fray. People are also getting more involved and we're seeing voter turnouts increasing. These small, incremental, changes can alter the overall picture. Let's explore how.


What an election looks like on an excel sheet
In the last elections in Delhi in 2008, the Congress (INC), won over 60% of the 70-seat assembly. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) was far behind with just 30% of the seats.

That being said, the percentage of people voting for the INC was 40% while for the BJP was 36%. There were many seats where the Congress just pipped the BJP, whereas most of the BJP victories were by huge margins.

It is in these details that, I believe, lies the future of this episode of the elections. The new voters coming into the fray, by way of age, or 'realization' (that their vote counts), can tilt the balance the other way. A large percentage of the voters will continue to vote as they voted the last time. Not by habit, but because their candidates will use the same tactics they used last time to coerce them and they will invariably succeed.

Coming to the assumptions
1. I have used the grid below to (assume &) describe how the 2008 voter will behave in 2013, and how the 'new' voter will vote. For example if 100 people voted for the Congress in 2008, 80 will continue to vote for them, 10 will vote for the BJP and 10 for other parties. This is largely due to the anti-incumbency factor. For the new voter, I've given the BJP a slight advantage over the INC as I feel they are doing a better job with the youth.


2.  As we can see, I still think it will be firmly a two-horse race. The new, Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is small, doesn't know how to win an election, and is a distraction at best. Moreover, would have to take enough votes away from the BJP AND Congress, in each constituency that they want to win - I don't see that happening.

3. I have assumed that we will have 70% voting on the 2008 base in all constituencies that had a 60+% turnout in the last elections. So for example, Rithala polled in at 63% last time round with 116k / 183k people voting. This time round, we will see 128k people voting. Overall, we should see around 500k people MORE who will vote vs 2008.

4. All constituencies that polled lower than 60% in 2008 will add 5% voters to their base. Vikaspuri, for instance which polled in at 56%, with 137k / 248k voters will now have 149k people casting their ballot.

5. I have ignored people being deleted from the list due to death, etc. I think the number is too small to be considered.

With the above assumptions in place, I arrive at the following results for 2013:

BJP - 36
INC - 28
Others - 6

Here's the link to the working document I made for this.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B24jHHFCzAOFdkZfV3h2SlhPcXM/edit?usp=sharing

Now, let the real games begin...!

PS - All data was taken from the official website of the Chief Electoral Officer of Delhi : http://www.ceodelhi.gov.in/

Wednesday, May 1, 2013

Eurotrip 3.0 : Monaco & Cannes!!



As we, the weary travelers, drove out of Pisa and by & through the Cinque Terre, the Italian & French Riviera, we were treated to some of the best views in any stretch of road in the world. So good in fact, that we were re-energized for the chequered flag of our journey, the last 3 days in Monaco, Cannes & finally in Milan.

We arrived in the evening in Beausoleil, France. The town is on a hill with Monaco down below, by the sea. One can literally take an elevator from France to the Principality of Monaco!  Our apartment-hotel (the Odalys Les Jardins d’Elisa) was a superb one with a well set up apartment overlooking the sea & the country-city of Monaco below.

Shyam stepped out to get wine & groceries for the evening and I was busy readying the pasta with Hari. The night views from the apartment were stunning and I managed to click some good long-exposure shots.

After filling our tummies with some more pasta and wine, we veritably crashed in our beds! The next day was going to be a drive down to Cannes, the red carpet & more!

With the season over, Cannes was almost a ghost town, as if people had simply run away. The drive into Cannes was an uneventful one and we reached there right in the middle of the day. Parking was not to difficult to find and was surprisingly inexpensive given it was Cannes! Certainly way cheaper than London, Hari confirmed.

We took a walk by the beach and ended up at a really nice restaurant in one of the by-lanes. Lunch was the ever-dependable  pizza. A good 25% more expensive than at most other places on our trip, but quite good! We drove up then, to the Church of Notre-Dame which gave some great views out to sea. The Church itself was quaint and simple, with not much to do.

As evening approached, we drifted towards the famed Cannes Red Carpet and did our customary Bond snaps and such. It felt quite weird, re ‘normal’, without all the celebrities and paparazzi… All in all, it was a nice, relaxed day, as was needed as our (in hindsight) grueling trip wound down to its last 48 hours. We had a quick bite at a McDonald’s and headed back to our apart-hotel overlooking Monaco.

At night, Hari, Vidya & I suited up to go spend some time at the Grand Casino of Monte Carlo, Monaco. The place was fairly deserted but it still had a slew of Ferrari’s, Benz’s & Porsche’s waiting outside – the owners and staff perhaps? My time spent studying at the casino in Kranjska-Gora earlier on in the trip came in handy as we won some money at the roulette table – something like a net gain of 100 euros. It was fun, but I was getting really sleepy by the end of it, as the clock sped well past midnight!

We returned to a good night’s sleep followed by a relatively early morning for checkout! The next few hours were spent driving up to the Oceanographic Museum, followed by the Prince’s Palace. While we didn’t go inside, the stunning beauty of the land standing tall against the sea kept us occupied.

The streets leading up to the palace were dotted with little clothes-shops and lovely eateries and and we had a nice lunch in one of them. As afternoon was turning to evening, we bade goodbye to Monaco to drive onwards to Milan (in pouring rain!). But not before we did two laps of the famed Circuit de Monte Carlo - an unforgettable experience taking me back to my days of being a formula 1 addict (doing more laps on the  computer game than I had watched in my lifetime)!